United States | Midterm maths

Why Republicans are gaining ground in midterm polls

It would take a big polling miss, but it would no longer be a shock if they won the Senate

(FILES) In this file photo taken on September 3, 2022 Mehmet Oz, who is running for the US Senate, speaks as former US President Donald Trump stands behind him during a campaign rally in support of Oz and Doug Mastriano for Governor of Pennsylvania at Mohegan Sun Arena in Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania. - After losing the 2020 presidential election, Donald Trump could have worked on his golf swing or penned another memoir by the pool at his south Florida beach club. Instead he threw himself into the midterm election campaign with unprecedented gusto. His Senate picks in open races have been struggling however, and many Republicans are laying the blame at the gates of Mar a Lago. (Photo by Ed JONES / AFP) (Photo by ED JONES/AFP via Getty Images)
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This article appeared in the United States section of the print edition under the headline “Herd behaviour”

The world China wants

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